P. Farinella, and D. Vokrouhlicky, (1999), "SEMIMAJOR AXIS MOBILITY OF ASTEROIDAL FRAGMENTS", Science 283, 1507.

ABSTRACT

The semimajor axes of asteroid fragments up to about 20 km in diameter drift due to the Yarkovsky effect, a subtle non--gravitational mechanism related to radiation pressure recoil on spinning and orbiting objects. Over the collisional lifetimes of these objects (typically, $10$~Myr to $1$~Gyr), orbital semimajor axes can be moved by a few times $10^{-2}$~AU for bodies between 1 and 10~km in mean radius. This has profound implications on the delivery of multi--km near--Earth asteroids, because the Yarkovsky drift drives many small main--belt asteroids into the resonances which transport them to the Mars--crossing state and eventually to near--Earth space. Recent work has shown that, without such a drift, the Mars--crossing population would be depleted over times $\approx 100$~Myr, much less than the age of the Solar System. Moreover, the Yarkovsky semimajor axis mobility may spread in an observable way the tight semimajor axis clustering of small asteroids produced as a consequence of disruptive collisions.


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